Glossy-Cream
0x8e6ca9420c86d7d9760afbbf0362c29b13e56ed0
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$424.32
Total PnL
$-17.76
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
86 shares @ 84.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.57
$5.46
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
46 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$41.45
$2.45
- NO
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
36 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$28.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
24 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$21.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
21 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.05
$0.05
- NO
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
18 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$18.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
16 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$13.02Jun 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$22.06Jun 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$11.16Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?$54.31Jun 11, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?$36.04Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?$21.01Jun 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?$36.00Jun 11, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$34.07Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$13.40Jun 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$34.00Jun 9, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$88.09Jun 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?$11.04Jun 8, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$88.01Jun 8, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$51.06Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Jun 5, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?$52.78Jun 5, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?$33.00Jun 5, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?$16.13Jun 4, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?$11.96Jun 4, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?$89.63Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $33.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.