Average-Photographer
0x8e6eb22a04812eb482fbd63eec06b6408effa9db
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$156.26
Total PnL
$-12.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$36.00
$26.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$32.50
$23.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$23.50
$14.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$22.50
$17.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$21.50
$16.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 22?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.25
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.54
$-5.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 22?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.48
$-2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.25
$-7.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 21?$80.00Jul 21, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 22?$0.08Jul 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on July 22?$0.05Jul 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 21, 19:21 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 22?$50.00Jul 21, 19:21 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on July 22?$50.00Jul 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 23?$0.10Jul 21, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on July 23?$0.10Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 23?$0.21Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on July 23?$0.10Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 23?$100.00Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on July 23?$100.00Jul 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 21?$0.07Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 21?$0.10Jul 21, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 21?$5.51Jul 21, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 15?$0.00Jul 21, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?$0.00Jul 21, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 21, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?$0.00Jul 21, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 10?$0.00Jul 21, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.