Subdued-Mechanic
0x8e6fe71a76d3368a4ca24df4df34e5193ea467e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$408.38
Total PnL
$-680.94
Realised
$156.73
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 58.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$270.00
$38.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
300 shares @ 3.9¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.15
$24.45
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
100 shares @ 32.8¢·now 20.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.70
$-12.10
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
225 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.63
$4.28
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
197 shares @ 19.8¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.32
$-33.63
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.28
$-21.72
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
245 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-5.39
- YES
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
852 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-4.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$1.00Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?$1.00Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?$2.00Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$49.72Jun 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$1.00Jun 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$47.15Jun 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$7.00May 26, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.00May 21, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.03May 21, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.