Well-Informed-Socialist
0x8e764938035a46bd150eef4b33ba003061e5c3f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$697.53
Total PnL
$157.03
Realised
$28.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
113 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$113.21
$53.21
- YES
Will Trump sue the BBC?
82 shares @ 48.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$82.24
$42.24
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
46 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$45.98
$5.98
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
40 shares @ 25.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$39.92
$29.92
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
37 shares @ 53.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$37.11
$17.11
- NO
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?
28 shares @ 70.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$28.28
$8.28
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
25 shares @ 79.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$24.84
$4.84
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
24 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$23.56
$3.56
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.99
$2.99
- YES
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
23 shares @ 87.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.96
$2.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$21.00Nov 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$19.42Nov 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?$20.00Nov 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$20.52Nov 20, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue the BBC?$40.00Nov 19, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?$2.00Nov 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?$20.00Nov 17, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$27.61Nov 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.99Nov 17, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$10.00Nov 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$28.00Nov 17, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?$2.08Nov 17, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$30.77Nov 17, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?$43.96Nov 17, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?$10.00Nov 15, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$40.00Nov 15, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$20.00Nov 15, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$20.00Nov 15, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?$40.00Nov 15, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Nov 15, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.