Sardonic-Maintenance
0x8e78bc515c513255af22567cf41556ae9ee204a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-652.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
740 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?
550 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.91
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
463 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-70.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
420 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31?
326 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?
159 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.30
- NO
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?
59 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$43.83Mar 9, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.07Mar 9, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$0.14Mar 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$0.60Mar 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$2.40Mar 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$0.60Mar 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$12.84Mar 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$0.60Mar 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$0.14Mar 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$3.12Mar 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$3.12Mar 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$0.95Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$4.35Mar 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$1.36Mar 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$4.77Mar 8, 15:32 UTC
- REWARD$1.41Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$2.94Mar 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$3.53Mar 6, 02:20 UTC
- REWARD$4.79Mar 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$2.33Mar 5, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.