0x8e79b9fd33ccbadc5cbfc767f92b36c986a5c75a
0x8e79b9fd33ccbadc5cbfc767f92b36c986a5c75a
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$174.20
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-293.65
Win rate
0%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
10 shares @ 74.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$10.08
$2.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
10 shares @ 82.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$10.01
$1.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.89
$2.88
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.75
$4.31
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.69
$1.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.52
$1.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.50
$3.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.49
$1.43
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.45
$3.38
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$5.38
$0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.65Feb 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$3.70Feb 12, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$10.86Feb 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.20Feb 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.85Feb 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.30Feb 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.40Feb 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$4.95Feb 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.55Feb 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$2.80Feb 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$3.40Feb 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4.30Feb 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$3.25Feb 11, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$3.45Feb 11, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$3.60Feb 11, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$3.80Feb 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.70Feb 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.00Feb 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$3.90Feb 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$3.45Feb 11, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
63/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
42 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.