Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-263.46

Realised

$-10.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 55

NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
1042 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.64
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
155 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$0.00
$-4.65
YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
135 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$0.00
$-4.76
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
47 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-1.86
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
47 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026
$0.00
$-1.86
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
29 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026
$0.00
$-4.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
27 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-2.81
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
25 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.71
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
24 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026
$0.00
$-4.71

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.00Apr 20, 16:38 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 15:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 15:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 15:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 15:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$10.00Apr 17, 15:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 15:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.00Apr 17, 15:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 14:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:28 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:28 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 14:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 14:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$11.68Apr 17, 14:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 14:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 13:55 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity36 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry65 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 27
Avg trade size: $5.28
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 16, 14:16 UTC
Last active: Apr 20, 16:38 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:36:14 UTC·src:Polymarket Data