Worried-Crisp
0x8e8ce19a80fb3d43bed173dd471452ade1decd95
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.94
Total PnL
$-18.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09May 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28May 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$5.10May 26, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$2.05May 26, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$6.00Feb 23, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$12.00Feb 23, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 00:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".