Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$96.13

Total PnL

$-9.7K

Realised

$-14.95

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$96.13
$46.14
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
259 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-37.67
UP
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
205 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-4.22
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
165 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-32.94
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$96.14Feb 26, 14:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.94Feb 26, 14:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$43.71Feb 26, 14:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.34Feb 26, 14:00 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$95.25Feb 26, 13:19 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$19.88Feb 26, 13:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$30.11Feb 26, 12:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$94.84Feb 26, 12:48 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$49.85Feb 26, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 12:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$6.18Feb 26, 12:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$43.82Feb 26, 12:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$96.15Feb 26, 12:19 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.59Feb 26, 12:14 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.60Feb 26, 12:13 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.08Feb 26, 12:13 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.09Feb 26, 12:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$5.20Feb 26, 12:11 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$39.43Feb 26, 12:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 11:58 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry98 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk76 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $21.12
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 26, 09:45 UTC
Last active: Feb 26, 14:18 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:56:11 UTC·src:Polymarket Data