Untried-Servant
0x8e8de134873aacac8cdd429470ea97537a692814
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 13?
155 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 15?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 12?
84 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 12?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 14?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 13?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 23?
45 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.96Mar 24, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?$10.71Feb 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.53Feb 28, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.50Feb 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1.00Feb 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 13, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $80 on February 12?$5.25Feb 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on February 12?$1.00Feb 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$2.00Feb 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$7.30Jan 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?$2.00Jan 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?$5.00Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?$1.48Jan 29, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?$1.00Jan 29, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?$13.42Jan 29, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?$1.00Jan 28, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?$10.00Jan 27, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?$11.20Jan 27, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?$7.00Jan 27, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$6.70Jan 27, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.