Royal-Challenge
0x8e924f1800c9080d94bc1d69778271daaec2d9af
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$20.11
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?$1.00Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Calla Walsh be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?$1.01Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRemote IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Dec 8, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.0KDec 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$500.00Dec 5, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$487.35Dec 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$500.00Dec 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$500.00Dec 5, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$243.68Dec 5, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $166.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".