Jolly-Hypothermia
0x8e9a2edb32fa68e3ace55405377c8463ff91351a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.15
Realised
$2.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Bitcoin above $117,000 on August 6?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 11?
290 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 5?
220 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 11?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 13?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?
60 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$10.00Dec 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 21?$1.00Nov 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$0.67Nov 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 21?$1.02Nov 16, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 6?$0.90Nov 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$1.32Nov 1, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 17?$0.98Oct 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?$1.00Sep 25, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET?$1.00Sep 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2.20Sep 22, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.69Sep 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$0.03Sep 22, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$0.23Sep 22, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$0.82Sep 22, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?$3.00Sep 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on September 14?$0.99Sep 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 5?$0.61Sep 5, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 5?$0.05Sep 5, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 5?$0.01Sep 5, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 5?$0.01Sep 5, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".