Determined-Scarecrow
0x8e9d5ff250379cd506c04f6093bce2decbdc4d03
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.47
Total PnL
$-8.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$4.44
$3.46
- NO
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$1.76
$0.78
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?$1.00Apr 7, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?$1.00Apr 7, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?$1.00Apr 7, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$1.00Apr 7, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$1.00Apr 7, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?$1.00Apr 7, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?$1.00Apr 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$1.00Apr 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?$1.00Apr 7, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?$1.00Apr 7, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.19Jan 24, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$4.95Jan 24, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.01Jan 24, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.11Nov 7, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?$1.00Oct 9, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.00Oct 9, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Oct 9, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 9, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.