Unwelcome-Apricot
0x8ea189248505a9d9dc25c0ff42996041aaedc38e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.4K
Realised
$-659.45
Win rate
0%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
40894 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16799 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-489.12
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6250 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4545 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UNDER
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5
2974 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-684.13
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-61.60
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?
1129 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- UNDER
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5
940 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-150.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMGlobal Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns$400.00Aug 2, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns$252.71Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.46Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.4KJul 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$60.92Jul 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$155.57Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.35Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$22.41Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$33.17Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.76Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
38 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $101.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.