Foolhardy-Gram
0x8eac7e280c27d0a5ec8ee18b7294b404f6c2db7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$47.41
Win rate
43%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
2863 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-394.36
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of February?
1990 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-49.75
- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
1556 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-173.96
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of February?
939 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-199.17
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
870 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-238.21
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
742 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-315.32
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of February?
570 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-51.30
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February?
438 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-152.73
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
400 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-201.72
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
392 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-33.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$86.53Mar 12, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of February?$20.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of February?$30.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?$30.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?$32.60Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?$33.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?$40.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $740 end of February?$50.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of February?$58.00Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of February?$60.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?$60.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $700 end of February?$100.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of February?$100.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?$114.52Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of February?$300.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?$352.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February?$365.01Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?$495.97Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?$4.0KMar 2, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Hornets$140.00Feb 23, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $59.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.