Fuzzy-Jumbo
0x8ebb4b46a03b1ee53cd0dd21b27c37e5b61d45fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$29.47
Total PnL
$-190.54
Realised
$-1.05
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?
9 shares @ 46.9¢·now 65.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$6.04
$1.68
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$5.92
$0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?
8 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$4.48
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$4.10
$0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.32
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?
7 shares @ 36.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.23
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.07
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?
13 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.54
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on August 5?
1048 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.52
$-1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5?
34 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.21
$-3.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5?$2.10Aug 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?$1.46Aug 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?$0.68Aug 5, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?$2.11Aug 5, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5?$1.02Aug 5, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5?$4.08Aug 5, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5?$0.04Aug 5, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5?$0.17Aug 5, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?$3.73Aug 5, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?$1.58Aug 5, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5?$1.17Aug 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5?$1.17Aug 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5?$1.17Aug 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?$2.13Aug 5, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?$16.21Aug 4, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5?$0.60Aug 4, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5?$0.14Aug 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5?$0.40Aug 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?$2.27Aug 4, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?$1.14Aug 4, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.