Sugary-Stepdaughter
0x8ebdb2128f85dbe13859c45b64583ebdf21eec7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$45.78
Total PnL
$1.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
41 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.23
$1.44
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 65.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.73
$0.73
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$0.32
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$39.79Mar 30, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00Mar 30, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$36.78Mar 30, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.00Mar 30, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.78Mar 30, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$2.23Mar 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$2.18Mar 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.50Mar 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.68Mar 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$32.72Feb 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.50Feb 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.30Feb 28, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$39.52Feb 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$37.58Jan 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.67Jan 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.90Jan 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.02Jan 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.04Jan 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.34Jan 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$3.62Jan 14, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $21.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.