Thick-Harmonise
0x8ec2a86c7affbf1590929f8c9366af4100f3b78e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$132.64
Total PnL
$3.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$76.92
$26.92
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?
42 shares @ 11.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$41.88
$36.88
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
14 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$13.85
$4.85
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
81 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
21 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%?
14 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$0.00Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$0.00Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 6 swing states?$0.00Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$43.48Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$44.64Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arizona be the last state to be called by the AP?$56.82Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$70.47Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 7, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $66.67Nov 7, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$67.57Nov 7, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$9.00Nov 6, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$30.00Nov 6, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$10.00Nov 6, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$10.00Nov 6, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$25.00Nov 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 6 swing states?$25.00Nov 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $40.00Nov 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$6.00Nov 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$1.00Nov 6, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $19.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".