Valid-Hat
0x8ec5bf0566366f5c510cfaf0cdf2aa501da58019
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?
151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?
124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Feyenoord beat Bayer Leverkusen?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Red Star Belgrade beat Benfica?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump tweet 40-49 times September 13-20?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?
64 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.13
- DEVILS
Penguins vs. Devils
61 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.65
- YES
Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Devils$30.65Apr 9, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$0.05Sep 30, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$0.00Sep 30, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$0.07Sep 30, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?$0.13Sep 23, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$0.06Sep 19, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$0.08Sep 19, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$0.01Sep 19, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.10Sep 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 40-49 times September 13-20?$0.15Sep 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord beat Bayer Leverkusen?$0.10Sep 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Star Belgrade beat Benfica?$0.10Sep 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Sep 19, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Sep 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.13Sep 2, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 25, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$87.91Aug 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$88.00Aug 24, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$87.84Aug 24, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$88.00Aug 24, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $43.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".