Grotesque-Wardrobe
0x8ec8c6ff4797686d080c75a84eeed108d77eabc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 14?
282 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 9?
279 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 3?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 5-11?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 11?
273 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 10?
273 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?
272 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5PM ET
264 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 14?
262 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 3?
261 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$2.38Jul 20, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 16?$98.24Jul 16, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 16?$96.57Jul 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?$2.45Jul 7, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$97.61Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$0.11Jun 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$96.33Jun 4, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$84.29May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$83.11May 22, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 14?$93.33May 14, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 14?$91.37May 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13?$2.72May 13, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$79.20May 7, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 2?$0.00Apr 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$78.01Apr 25, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 31?$95.33Apr 19, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 17?$1.92Apr 16, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?$0.00Apr 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.30 December 29-January 4?$0.00Mar 31, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 31?$92.47Mar 30, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $35.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.