Intentional-Vase
0x8ec8e6de947a9a82c2df80a6fb0d0f0a74d355aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.12
Total PnL
$-3.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.93
$-2.02
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.15
$-0.70
- YES
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.85Feb 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.15Feb 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.55Jan 10, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.56Jan 6, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.40Jan 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$9.98Dec 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$10.00Dec 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$9.98Dec 28, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$10.00Dec 28, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$9.99Dec 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$10.00Dec 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled in 2025?$9.99Dec 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled in 2025?$10.00Dec 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$10.98Dec 28, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$11.00Dec 28, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?$1.00Nov 25, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5600 in October?$1.00Nov 25, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$1.01Nov 25, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.