Flashy-Downforce
0x8ece8cd894f54566a71228a2f451452f7a1b03e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$152.36
Total PnL
$-81.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
No Opensea token launch by July?
19 shares @ 32.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$18.66
$12.66
- YES
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$16.13
$1.13
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.14
$4.14
- NO
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Tether insolvent in 2025?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.48
$1.48
- NO
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.21
$0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEM100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Facebook implement "community notes" before April?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain's FDV be $3-5b 1 day after launch?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump positive favorability on February 1?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week? $0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on Mexico in his first week? $0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by March 31?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMAnother state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu declared public health emergency before April?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon be worth $500b before March?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? $0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?$0.00Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $28.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".