Gregarious-Pants
0x8ed9b13a0e962473f9e984f0ca6c77dbb12c4dad
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$16.23
Total PnL
$-56.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$9.85
$2.96
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
67 shares @ 14.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.38
$-3.62
- NO
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?
109 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-54.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?$7.00Apr 10, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.13Apr 10, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.88Apr 10, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$23.99Apr 10, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$53.32Apr 10, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.00Mar 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.00Feb 27, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$22.0KFeb 21, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.92Feb 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$22.1KFeb 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$64.00Feb 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.50Feb 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$921.75Feb 11, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$50.49Feb 10, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)$32.20Feb 10, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$978.00Feb 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)$6.76Jan 3, 10:50 UTC
- SPLITLoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)$32.20Jan 3, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win on 2025-12-24?$75.21Dec 24, 08:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Algeria win on 2025-12-24?$109.00Dec 24, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.