Robust-Aperitif
0x8edbfe59b6472cf307211fcaac2b5113ed9ed838
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.22
Total PnL
$-0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.47
$0.07
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?$1.40Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$1.02Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?$1.05Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$1.11Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.14Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.13Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.17Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$2.33Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$5.88Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$1.00Nov 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$1.00Nov 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?$1.00Nov 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$1.00Nov 10, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMAl-Selwady vs. Camilo$0.98Nov 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.06Nov 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.46Nov 10, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$746.90Oct 29, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$747.65Oct 29, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $579.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.