Defensive-Explanation
0x8ee40f14174d87045b7c948f4ae0fa5506e19e19
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1025715 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
994878 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-994.88
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
412691 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-825.38
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
302121 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-302.12
- YES
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?
171247 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.8K
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
105878 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-423.51
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
25772 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.77
- YES
Trump in jail before election day?
18794 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-853.28
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
631 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris drop out in August?$651.75Aug 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$507.75Aug 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$345.54Aug 9, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Aug 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$142.38Aug 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.41Aug 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris drop out in August?$191.90Aug 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris drop out in August?$381.04Aug 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$11.65Aug 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$290.47Aug 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.26Aug 8, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$303.38Aug 8, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$244.79Aug 8, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.05Aug 8, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.19Aug 8, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.18Aug 8, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.04Aug 8, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$282.38Aug 8, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris drop out in August?$75.31Aug 8, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $81.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.