0x8ee51ed64bde8b9e4d50221bb33f6446b8d7582d
0x8ee51ed64bde8b9e4d50221bb33f6446b8d7582d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-469.92
Realised
$35.50
Win rate
62%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
130 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
81 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
55 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
51 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
47 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.28Aug 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.27Aug 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.85Aug 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$9.25Aug 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.27Aug 10, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.27Aug 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.27Aug 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.25Aug 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.25Aug 10, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.64Aug 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.33Aug 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.21Aug 10, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.26Aug 10, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.27Aug 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.27Aug 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$17.55Aug 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$11.55Aug 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.29Aug 10, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.12Aug 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.26Aug 10, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.