Lumbering-Manicure
0x8ee631c81ed17effa02d4a81d31372f6d2e44ff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$736.13
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-32.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
676 shares @ 73.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$490.31
$-9.69
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$112.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$67.65
$-32.35
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
691 shares @ 14.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.67
$-35.73
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
3744 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
1066 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
405 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
154 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$100.00Jun 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$100.00Jun 9, 05:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$505.85Jun 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$511.69Jun 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$253.05Jun 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$246.88Jun 7, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$102.56Jun 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$103.32Jun 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$509.12Jun 7, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$1.0KJun 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$403.31Jun 7, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $350.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.