Misty-Fresco-Republic
0x8ee6fd3cefc866d49c5971ba4c28e359fc9522e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.72
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?
130 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-48.53
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 19?
130 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.52
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 18?
72 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-24.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 18?
71 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.85
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 15?
61 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 15?
60 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.98
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 17?
55 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 17?
55 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.54
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 19?
53 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.18
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 29?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 2?$2.16Jul 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?$2.26Jul 2, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?$6.79Jul 1, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?$6.45Jul 1, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?$13.13Jul 1, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?$2.61Jul 1, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?$8.30Jul 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?$10.94Jul 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?$7.71Jun 30, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?$2.40Jun 30, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$0.85Jun 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$9.33Jun 30, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$9.35Jun 30, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 30?$9.34Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 30?$6.85Jun 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?$6.86Jun 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?$7.11Jun 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?$7.09Jun 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?$7.43Jun 30, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 30?$6.11Jun 29, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.