Bony-Flag
0x8eeb7381fbdf0ca19e84a3dc138e8d16cb1fa4d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$4.23
Realised
$1.81
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 28?
1000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$999.48
$0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 28?
850 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$849.58
$0.42
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 28?
630 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$629.68
$0.31
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 28?
547 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$546.62
$0.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?
423 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$423.01
$0.32
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 28?
171 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$170.73
$0.09
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 28?
166 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$165.66
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 28?
159 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$159.00
$0.08
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 28?
115 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$114.94
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 28?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.80
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $60 on July 28?$43.60Jul 28, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on July 28?$50.49Jul 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 28?$114.89Jul 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,150 on July 28?$4.73Jul 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on July 28?$99.91Jul 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on July 28?$49.95Jul 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on July 28?$84.89Jul 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 28?$94.89Jul 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 28?$36.69Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on July 28?$99.91Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 28?$195.35Jul 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 28?$10.65Jul 28, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 28?$19.98Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?$230.17Jul 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?$9.19Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?$160.24Jul 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 28?$155.56Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 28?$10.76Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 28?$79.93Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?$399.26Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $78.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.