Playful-Player
0x8ef150af215fade0325f087c4be1f795449f2581
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$45.11
Total PnL
$-7.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on December 26, 2025?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$15.00
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
7 shares @ 14.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$7.08
$6.08
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$5.00
$3.05
- NO
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?
1241 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.83
- HAWKS
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Hornets
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$11.83Dec 22, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$4.97Dec 22, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.99Dec 22, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.99Dec 22, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on December 26, 2025?$14.25Dec 22, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?$1.00Dec 22, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29?$1.00Dec 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?$1.95Dec 22, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $580 before 2026?$5.00Dec 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$11.00Dec 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.00Dec 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$1.00Dec 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$1.00Dec 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$5.00Dec 22, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.60Dec 22, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.90Dec 22, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?$5.40Dec 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?$1.05Dec 20, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.