Ignorant-Vagrant
0x8ef365694bba89450c945c6a66314f6a1d881f3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$12.51
Total PnL
$-7.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1)
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$10.00
$9.00
- YES
NATO dissolves before 2027?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.51
$-1.47
- NO
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO dissolves before 2027?$3.98Jan 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ye say something antisemitic before March?$2.00Jan 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$3.00Jan 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Jan 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$2.00Jan 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$2.00Jan 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1)$1.00Jan 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?$2.00Jan 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$1.00Jan 28, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".