Confused-Surface
0x8ef46e1ce1052b6fb42c032ea8a65c4376563405
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$48.11
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?
592 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-34.44
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Cavaliers
361 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-49.96
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Warriors
232 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Grizzlies
230 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.25
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors
202 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- CAVALIERS
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Knicks
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
178 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.98
- YES
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?
175 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-26.25
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$38.86Mar 15, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$38.85Mar 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$18.65Mar 14, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5$30.00Mar 14, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$48.65Mar 14, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$49.49Mar 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?$50.00Mar 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Magic$66.77Mar 11, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Nuggets$30.00Mar 11, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score$46.82Mar 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5$49.95Mar 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$22.99Mar 11, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score$30.00Mar 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5$30.00Mar 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$30.00Mar 11, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Spurs$100.09Mar 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Spurs$27.00Mar 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Rockets$37.00Mar 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5$76.84Mar 10, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Spurs$32.00Mar 10, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $40.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".