Bustling-Mess
0x8ef9d14f28a7aa5b281ecba349c9ee3c3582b12b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.20
Total PnL
$-332.38
Realised
$5.65
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$8.20
$3.20
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
981 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
937 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
649 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
464 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
423 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$1.03May 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$20.52May 16, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.56May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.48May 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$1.37May 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$7.70May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.05May 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.04May 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.03May 16, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$8.20May 16, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.14May 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$6.72May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.10May 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$5.08May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$1.04May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$2.06May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$1.03May 15, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.