Flickering-Audience
0x8efd9533b15f259c8be8ae0dce13729cab2104cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
33 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
33 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
31 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?
25 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
25 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
19 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
11 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$5.00Nov 14, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$0.00Nov 5, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$2.02Oct 29, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$7.02Oct 27, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$4.00Oct 21, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$0.40Oct 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.30Oct 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.10Oct 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.10Oct 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$0.10Oct 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$3.00Oct 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDing Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?$0.58Oct 21, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 21, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.10Oct 21, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$1.00Oct 21, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$0.15Oct 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.05Oct 21, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".