Favorable-Trap
0x8f041524b17dc0bf766952fb17cb0bf760cc8a72
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-53.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.00
$52.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
100 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
93 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.67
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
90 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.50
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
75 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.80
- YES
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
30 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- JAGUARS
Jaguars vs. Texans
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$48.00Nov 28, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$125.99Nov 28, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$8.00Nov 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$12.50Nov 15, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$2.20Nov 12, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$3.70Nov 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$2.40Nov 12, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$15.00Nov 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$2.70Nov 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$2.25Nov 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$5.70Nov 11, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.60Nov 11, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$3.30Nov 11, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBills vs. Dolphins$13.33Nov 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.90Nov 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.40Nov 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$2.90Nov 10, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$1.26Nov 10, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$4.94Nov 10, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$3.30Nov 9, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 22:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.