Firsthand-Teapot
0x8f0b51989cefd8885bb8bff2d006d99feafbc23e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.97
Total PnL
$-8.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or higher on September 7?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 4?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 13?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 10?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 14?$1.10Sep 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 14?$1.00Sep 13, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 12?$1.16Sep 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 13?$1.00Sep 12, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 12?$1.64Sep 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 12?$1.00Sep 11, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 12?$1.00Sep 11, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?$1.23Sep 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 11?$1.00Sep 10, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on September 10?$1.19Sep 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on September 10?$1.00Sep 10, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 9?$1.54Sep 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 10?$1.00Sep 8, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 9?$1.00Sep 8, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 8?$1.33Sep 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 8?$1.00Sep 7, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on September 7?$1.16Sep 7, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 8?$1.00Sep 6, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or higher on September 7?$1.00Sep 6, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on September 7?$1.00Sep 6, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 15, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".