Alarmed-Fourths
0x8f16e20fee3b7ad584c363b7850281d8abfe350c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$22.47
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.00
$-0.00
- MAGIC
Timberwolves vs. Magic
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$1.91
$0.63
- SUNS
Mavericks vs. Suns
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$1.63
$0.29
- JURIJ RODIONOV
Madrid: Jurij Rodionov vs Sergi Perez Contri
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.55
$0.36
- NO
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.43
$-0.01
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Clippers
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- KILIAN FELDBAUSCH
Sarasota: Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsley
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$1.39
$0.18
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.34
$0.01
- NUGGETS
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$1.33
$0.04
- GABRIELA RUSE
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremska
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.31
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Suns$1.34Apr 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$1.00Apr 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Nuggets$1.29Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Magic$1.29Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Pistons$1.12Apr 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSarasota: Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsley$1.21Apr 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUpper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremska$1.18Apr 8, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machac$1.23Apr 8, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid: Jurij Rodionov vs Sergi Perez Contri$1.20Apr 8, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev$1.45Apr 8, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hurricanes (-1.5)$1.67Apr 8, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Suns$1.70Apr 8, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jackets vs. Flyers$2.00Apr 8, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$2.26Apr 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Utah$1.10Mar 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Flyers$1.12Mar 24, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Avalanche (-1.5)$1.23Mar 24, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hurricanes (-1.5)$1.10Mar 24, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Celtics$1.00Mar 24, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Pistons$1.25Mar 24, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".