Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.9K

Realised

$-175.92

Win rate

6 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1587 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-349.42
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1218 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-351.51
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
918 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-272.38
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
796 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-206.58
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
563 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-101.54
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
386 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-68.45
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
377 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-180.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
256 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-107.68
UP
Solana Up or Down - December 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
239 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-43.53
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
167 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025
$0.00
$-86.56

Recent activity

REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$19.29Jan 28, 23:08 UTC
REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$52.00Jan 1, 08:08 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.71Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$13.19Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$17.75Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$27.34Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$32.13Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$83.73Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$161.13Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$391.08Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$405.13Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$832.10Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$843.91Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$904.71Dec 15, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.6KDec 15, 10:21 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.73Dec 15, 09:29 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.20Dec 15, 09:29 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.68Dec 15, 09:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$6.00Dec 15, 09:28 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.59Dec 15, 09:27 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence20 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk48 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 35
Avg trade size: $9.58
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 15, 09:18 UTC
Last active: Jan 28, 23:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 6 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:12:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data