Joyous-Hole-Typewriter
0x8f25fc021233dfd559543b9bc5842cae14d01e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-186.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$189.15Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$25.76Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$267.6KJun 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$62.4KJun 29, 17:53 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$43.27Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$70.0KJun 26, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$15.7KJun 26, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$3.8KJun 26, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$254.73Jun 25, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$99.7KJun 25, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
$98.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $42.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.