Teeming-Fatherinlaw
0x8f2e35edc1784f11e6e1a13a75ef474fbea8caf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-96.59
Realised
$35.46
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?
685 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$640.85
$3.43
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$457.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?
470 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$434.35
$7.04
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$79.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?
470 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.95
$2.35
- AVENGERS: DOOMSDAY
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
40 shares @ 85.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$38.82
$4.78
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
148 shares @ 93.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.97
$-114.86
- YES
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
114 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$22.27
$-9.71
- YES
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
112 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.24
$-10.64
- YES
Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
220 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.90
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$11.00Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?$536.55Jul 27, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?$460.00Jul 27, 01:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?$31.98Jul 25, 09:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?$469.28Jul 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?$47.00Jul 20, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?$188.00Jul 20, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?$376.00Jul 20, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?$46.13Jul 18, 21:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.11Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$7.81Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.32Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?$1.33Jul 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?$4.00Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?$4.80Jul 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?$3.77Jul 13, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $179.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.