Tricky-Overload
0x8f34e45fe06d6fad7d9d9d2738859a4022c02f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$698.97
Total PnL
$-789.38
Realised
$90.33
Win rate
58%
120 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?
30 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$29.97
$1.56
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 91.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$29.96
$2.63
- NO
Will George Pickens play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27?
30 shares @ 23.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$29.95
$22.93
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ 94.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.95
$1.70
- NO
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 84.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.41
$4.13
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
30 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$29.28
$1.14
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
30 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.19
$0.81
- NO
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
30 shares @ 93.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$29.05
$1.03
- NO
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$28.50
$2.10
- NO
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
30 shares @ 89.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$27.32
$0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?$4.07Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$2.16Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andoni Iraola be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$23.10Jun 11, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?$26.74Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$30.00Jun 7, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$30.00Jun 5, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$30.00Jun 4, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$12.97Jun 3, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$30.00Jun 2, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$20.63Jun 2, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$22.61Jun 2, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$29.99Jun 1, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?$3.69Jun 1, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $130M and $150M at market close on IPO day?$30.00Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?$23.32Jun 1, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$27.57Jun 1, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$30.01Jun 1, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?$30.00Jun 1, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$2.34Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?$11.11Jun 1, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 23:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 120 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.