Grown-Pagoda
0x8f3619a4dc517b2f9ed64454ad2b42d01ed5324f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.67
Total PnL
$-4.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.75
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.74
$0.00
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.73
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA reach $244 in April?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$2.75Jun 1, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.72May 9, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $244 in April?$1.07Apr 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.27Apr 29, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.74Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.34Apr 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$1.24Mar 30, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.41Mar 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.09Dec 30, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.49Dec 29, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.01Dec 29, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.50Dec 29, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.78Dec 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.01Dec 24, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.79Dec 24, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.07Dec 24, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.42Dec 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.49Dec 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.05Dec 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.89Dec 23, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.