Hot-Produce
0x8f37894ba952aa76a5e2a25245e706dc49e9d6dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.72
Realised
$13.08
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
5333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
1637 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.35
- YES
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?
715 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.49
- YES
Macron cocaine use confirmed?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
70 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
51 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will FURIA win the IEM Dallas tournament?
40 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
37 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$1.75May 19, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$1.00May 19, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lance Stroll win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lance Stroll win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Lawson win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Gasly win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00May 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00May 18, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$5.64May 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$19.23May 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$97.00May 18, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".