Watchful-Disguise
0x8f3a1da6345aa915333a76c15224a271e72cc4fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.21
Total PnL
$-778.18
Realised
$3.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?
411 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.21
$-3.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 26?
1661 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 23?
1524 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on April 24?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on April 23?
1437 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 3?
1353 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 1?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 25?
962 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13?$1.48Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13?$1.48Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14?$0.82Jun 13, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 14?$1.48Jun 13, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?$0.60Jun 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?$1.50Jun 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?$1.48Jun 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?$0.51Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?$1.49Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?$1.50Jun 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?$0.90Jun 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?$0.42Jun 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?$0.25Jun 13, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?$0.21Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?$0.92Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?$0.12Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?$1.36Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15?$0.27Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14?$0.14Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.