Wallet digest

active

Activity score

64/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$418.15

Total PnL

$-145.17

Realised

$-226.21

Win rate

23%

13 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
391 shares @ 54.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$391.45
$176.52
NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 30?
23 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$22.89
$0.56
YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 29?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$2.57
$0.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$1.24
$0.18
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
2444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-22.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
2045 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-32.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-9.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
423 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-8.14
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
53 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.81

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.74Mar 23, 00:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.10Mar 23, 00:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$8.21Mar 23, 00:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:05 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.40Mar 23, 00:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$2.23Mar 23, 00:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$7.72Mar 23, 00:04 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.05Mar 23, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.39Mar 23, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.03Mar 23, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.04Mar 23, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.05Mar 22, 23:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.05Mar 22, 23:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.06Mar 22, 23:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.04Mar 22, 23:59 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:59 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.07Mar 22, 23:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.05Mar 22, 23:59 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence43 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry20 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk56 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $1.02
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 22, 23:52 UTC
Last active: Mar 23, 00:18 UTC
Win rate sample: 13 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:05:03 UTC·src:Polymarket Data