Female-Recruit
0x8f4085d95231774a900689054e3a952719b3eacc
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ethereum above $4700 on August 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 16 at 5PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4700 on August 22?$1.00Aug 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 16 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$1.00Aug 16, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$0.00Aug 16, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?$0.00Aug 16, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$1.00Aug 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?$1.00Aug 15, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.