Known-Creator
0x8f41c4870c09214817322897b72d0804688c2861
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.44
Total PnL
$-381.21
Realised
$-4.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1 shares @ 69.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?
255 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- E9 ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: E9 esports vs Change The Game (BO3)
103 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Wizards
90 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-76.11
- YES
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
7 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.01Jan 20, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.03Jan 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.99Jan 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.99Jan 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.93Jan 20, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.93Jan 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.88Jan 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.87Jan 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.46Jan 20, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPortland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcats$0.68Jan 1, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPortland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcats$0.79Jan 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcats$3.16Jan 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcats$6.50Jan 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLValparaiso Beacons vs. Southern Illinois Salukis$9.65Jan 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYValparaiso Beacons vs. Southern Illinois Salukis$9.27Jan 1, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks$9.28Jan 1, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks$1.84Jan 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks$1.84Jan 1, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks$5.65Jan 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks$5.65Jan 1, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".