Confused-Lycra
0x8f45fd272be7f0c15c907f0471237e8d6c49209d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Xi visit the US before September?
1083 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by July 31?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 12?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DIAMONDBACKS
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$26.32Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$15.19Jun 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$15.19Jun 11, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 12?$20.00Aug 12, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Diamondbacks$5.00Aug 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLPadres vs. Diamondbacks$5.12Aug 6, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Diamondbacks$5.00Aug 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 8?$5.94Aug 6, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US before September?$20.00Aug 5, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 8?$5.00Aug 4, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$7.68Aug 1, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$4.00Aug 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?$15.00Aug 1, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?$10.00Aug 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$0.80Jul 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by July 31?$10.00Jul 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$1.00Jul 29, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?$10.00Jul 29, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $9.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.