Frail-Dolphin
0x8f47a4f3ccc06ab71a3eb0d143b68e8d64caa13d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-40.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
41 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
31 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
4 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?$1.00Jun 4, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.56Jun 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.03Jun 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?$1.00Jun 1, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.01May 4, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$13.75May 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.23May 4, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.31May 4, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.03May 4, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.03May 4, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.00May 4, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.00Mar 31, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$3.71Mar 24, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$3.00Mar 24, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.27Mar 6, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".