Dependable-Switch
0x8f4daedd2055bd428e6401d84e79ebb4a7fb9f40
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-312.64
Realised
$-22.71
Win rate
17%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 5?
5035 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 7?
534 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 10?
516 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 10?
322 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 10?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 10?
234 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on June 7?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on June 10?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?
104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10?
87 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 23?$0.00Jul 24, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 23?$1.25Jul 24, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 23?$1.41Jul 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$1.03Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 24?$1.02Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 23?$1.01Jul 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 23?$1.01Jul 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)$0.78Jul 23, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMZug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans$0.99Jul 20, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$1.59Jul 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$1.03Jul 20, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)$1.03Jul 20, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$1.02Jul 20, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans$1.02Jul 20, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?$2.56Jul 13, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?$4.76Jul 13, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$5.00Jul 13, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$5.00Jul 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?$1.03Jul 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.